But overall, things are currently going our way....
From Politcal Wire in the last 24 Hours (in order of release, 'oldest' first):
CNN Poll: Obama Improves National Lead
A new CNN/Opinion Research Poll finds that by a 2-to-1 margin, Americans blame Republicans "for the financial crisis that has swept across the country the past few weeks -- one factor that may have contributed to an apparent increase in Barack Obama's edge over John McCain in the race for the White House."Obama now leads McCain among likely voters, 51% to 47%.
Granite State Poll: McCain Holds Small Lead
A new WMUR/Granite State Poll in New Hampshire shows Sen. John McCain ahead of Sen. Barack Obama, 47% to 45%."Pollsters asked half the voters who they would vote for if the election were held today, and the other half were asked who they plan to vote for looking ahead to the November election. Among those who were given the more immediate timeframe, 8 percent were undecided, but among those given the longer timeframe, 20 percent were undecided."
WP Poll: Obama Leads in Virginia
A new Washington Post poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 49% to 46%. Key finding: "Fifty percent of respondents said the economy is the most important issue in their choice of president and Obama holds a 10-point advantage on who would better handle the problem."
Fox News Poll: Battlegrounds Remain Close
A set of new Fox News/Rasmussen polls show four of the five battleground states are similar to the presidential election four years ago. Virginia, however, is more competitive than it was in 2004.
Florida: McCain 51%, Obama 46%
Michigan: Obama 51%, McCain 44%
Ohio: McCain 50%, Obama 46%
Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, McCain 45%
Virginia: McCain 50%, Obama 48%
Quinnipiac: Obama Ahead in Key Battlegrounds
By very large margins, voters in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin say Sen. Barack Obama, not Sen. John McCain, is the candidate of change, helping lift Obama into the lead in these battleground states, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac polls of likely voters.
Colorado: Obama 49%, McCain 45%
Michigan: Obama 48%, McCain 44%
Minnesota: Obama 47%, McCain 45%
Wisconsin: Obama 49%, McCain 42%
Said pollster Peter Brown: "With a lousy economy, an unpopular war and an even less popular Republican President, it's difficult to find voters who don't want change."
NBC Poll: Obama Leads in Florida
A new NBC News/Mason-Dixon poll in Florida finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 47% to 45%.
First Read has more details: "Obama leads McCain in the Tampa Bay area (Hillsborough, Pinellas, Pasco, Hernando, and Polk counties) by a 49%-43% margin. Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker says the key to winning Florida statewide is usually through Tampa Bay, and Obama's six-point lead in the area explains why he's ahead in this poll. Moreover, outside of Nevada, there is probably not another state that has been hurt more by the housing and credit crunch, and that may be benefiting Obama right now. Also potentially troublesome for McCain in this must-win GOP state, he leads by just six among Hispanics (49%-43%), which in Florida is made up of a majority of Cubans. (If Obama does pick off younger Cubans, he may close the overall gap thanks to his large lead among non-Cuban Hispanics in the I-4 corridor.) Also, McCain's four-point lead among seniors (48%-44%) is not as big as he needs it to be to offset the electorate-changing demographics among blacks and young
ARG Poll: Obama Holds Lead in Pennsylvania
A new American Research Group poll in Pennsylvania shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 50% to 46%.
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