Goes To Twelve: Early Polls

Friday, September 26, 2008

Early Polls

After two days of McCain Hysterics:

Diageo/Hotline Poll: Obama Widens Lead
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll will show Sen. Barack Obama opening up a seven point lead over Sen. John McCain, 49% to 42%.Key finding: On the economy, Obama has a 48% to 34% advantage over McCain.

Detroit Free Press: Obama Way Ahead in Michigan
A new Detroit Free Press poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 13 points, 51% to 38%.

Morning Call Poll: Obama Holds Lead in Pennsylvania
A new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll in Pennsylvania shows Sen. Barack Obama ahead of Sen. John McCain, 47% to 43%.Key findings: "Fully 46 percent of respondents pointed to the 'economy/jobs' as the most important issue in their decision on how to vote. And state voters express considerably more trust in Obama to handle fallout from Wall Street, 44 percent to 28 percent."

Research 2000: McCain Slips in Missouri
A new Research 2000 poll in Missouri finds Sen. John McCain holding a one point lead over Sen. Barack Obama, 47% to 46%.Last week, McCain was ahead by four points.Key finding: "A majority of those polled weren't sure which candidate could best handle the financial crisis. Just over a quarter said they trusted Obama the most, while 20 percent favored McCain."
Meanwhile, a new SurveyUSA poll in Missouri gives McCain a two point edge, 48% to 46%.

Strategic Vision: Obama Leads in Michigan, New Hampshire
Political Wire got an advance look at two new Strategic Vision polls which will be released tomorrow:Michigan: Obama 48%, McCain 45% New Hampshire: Obama 46%, McCain 45%

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Alinsky's Rules For Radicals

Rule 1: Power is not only what you have, but what an opponent thinks you have. If your organization is small, hide your numbers in the dark and raise a din that will make everyone think you have many more people than you do.

Rule 2: Never go outside the experience of your people. The result is confusion, fear, and retreat.

Rule 3: Whenever possible, go outside the experience of an opponent. Here you want to cause confusion, fear, and retreat.

Rule 4: Make opponents live up to their own book of rules. “You can kill them with this, for they can no more obey their own rules than the Christian church can live up to Christianity.”

Rule 5: Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon. It’s hard to counterattack ridicule, and it infuriates the opposition, which then reacts to your advantage.

Rule 6: A good tactic is one your people enjoy. “If your people aren’t having a ball doing it, there is something very wrong with the tactic.”

Rule 7: A tactic that drags on for too long becomes a drag. Commitment may become ritualistic as people turn to other issues.

Rule 8: Keep the pressure on. Use different tactics and actions and use all events of the period for your purpose. “The major premise for tactics is the development of operations that will maintain a constant pressure upon the opposition. It is this that will cause the opposition to react to your advantage.”

Rule 9: The threat is more terrifying than the thing itself. When Alinsky leaked word that large numbers of poor people were going to tie up the washrooms of O’Hare Airport, Chicago city authorities quickly agreed to act on a longstanding commitment to a ghetto organization. They imagined the mayhem as thousands of passengers poured off airplanes to discover every washroom occupied. Then they imagined the international embarrassment and the damage to the city’s reputation.

Rule 10: The price of a successful attack is a constructive alternative. Avoid being trapped by an opponent or an interviewer who says, “Okay, what would you do?”

Rule 11: Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, polarize it. Don’t try to attack abstract corporations or bureaucracies. Identify a responsible individual. Ignore attempts to shift or spread the blame.

Goes To Twelve

Friday, September 26, 2008

Early Polls

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