Tuesday, June 05, 2007

About that Poll ...

Andrew Sullivan Observes:

It's obviously an aberration as a primary indicator. But surely a lot of its aberration has to do with the following fact:


The survey of 310 Democrats and 160 independents who "lean" Democratic, taken Friday through Sunday, has a margin of error of +/-5 percentage points... Among Democrats alone, Clinton leads Obama by 5 points, 34%-29%. That's a significant narrowing from the USA TODAY Poll taken in mid-May, when she led by 17 points. Among independents, Obama leads by 9 points, 31%-22%.


Clinton has the base support that her name, her husband and her long record among the Democrats have earned her. But as a general election candidate, as someone who can appeal to independents and Republicans, as someone who can actually enlarge the Democrats - Obama is quite obviously the superior candidate. Do the Dems want to go forward and outward? Or backward and inward? That's the choice they face between the Senator from Illinois and the Senator from New York.

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