A new Research 2000 poll found that Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) is currently leading a relatively unknown challenger -- Rick Noriega (D) -- 51%-35% in his 2008 reelection bid. However, only 40% of constituents said they wanted to reelect the Senator, while 35% said they were ready for someone new. This leaves a possible opening for Noriega to exploit. Cornyn is one of the more unpopular Republican Senators and has been made a target by Democrats for 2008.
Friday, September 28, 2007
If There Is A God ...
Cornyn is a special sort of fundy doofus
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2 comments:
I think that Noriega has less of a chance of beating Cornyn than Watts.
Noriega has the campaign financing from the guy who paid for all the Swift Boat ads and then the campiagn seems like they lied about that relationship, plus Noriega has a slippery record.
Watts seems only a little better, but at least he'll have the funds to run a real campaign which educates Texas voters about what a creep Cornyn is.
Jenny:
You also have to look at the Senate race in context.
Hillary at the top of our ticket will bring out the Republican vote in a menacing way (after Bush promised to be a uniter, perhaps it will be Hillary who comes through on that broken promise when she unites Texas Republicans in a way Karl Rove can only dream about). The race isn't over, but the smart money seems to think Hillary has at least a 70% chance of winning the nomination.
Noriega as the Democratic Senate nominee would automatically turn Texas into a huge money vacuum and would starve the ticket from top to bottom for financing (consider this in the context of a national Hillary '08 campaign that skips Texas entirely). Moreover, the Some Texas bloggers are on a mission to re-paint moderate Noriega as a full-fledged "pinko-liberal" which is already turning away moderate Democrats (including big Democratic fund raisers in Houston and Dallas who say Noriega is radioactive and whose absence from Noriega's quarterly finance report will be noticeable). This re-branding of Noriega as a far-left radical is magnifying the skepticism that Noriega already inspires within the anti-immigration voter lurking at the heart of many independent Texans and moderate Republicans who might otherwise consider staying home. Right now, I'd have to give Noriega a 55% chance of winning the nomination, and combined with Hillary at the top of the ticket, we could be doomed statewide.
Six months ago, we seemed on the verge of taking back the Texas house, but if we have both Hillary and Noriega on the ticket, we'll have to wait until 2010.
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