For The Panic Stricken Amongst Us

Perspective, if not reassurance, from Salon about this weeks poll trends:

1980 vs. 1988

...what really matters is whether the fundamental dynamics of this cycle are more like 1980 or 1988.

If 2008 is more like 1980, the summer dip in the polls for Obama ultimately will not matter. Most of those undecideds will eventually break his way once he demonstrates at the convention and in the debates that he is ready. (That's not a given, but the campaign knows what it has to do.) Right now, Obama's readiness problem may be more perceptual than actual, but it is a problem.

If 2008 is more like 1988, however, Obama has a bigger problem. This was the election in which George H.W. Bush was, in effect, running for Ronald Reagan's third term.

So ask yourself: Does this election cycle -- given the unpopularity of the president, the public's disgruntlement with Iraq and people's worries about the economy -- really look like 1988? No way. That doesn't mean Obama should put his campaign on cruise control. He could blow it.