Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Catholics, Edwards and the Lunchbox set


As GT12 notes it earlier Mackerel-Snappers-for-Barry-O post and asks also "do you think Obama's getting the Edwards votes?

From RealClear Politics

Obama won white males in the non-South by 8 points prior to the Potomac Primary. Last night, he won them by 26 points, yielding a net increase of 18 points.


As you can see [top above], Obama enjoyed significant expansions in three of his four strongest demographic groups. And, though it appears he did worse among white Protestants - the difference between the two is possibly due to statistical sampling error. So, all in all, Obama did no worse with any of his groups - and with most of them he did much better.


Meanwhile, he was able to peel away portions of Clinton's core electorate. To appreciate this, consider the [second] chart, which reviews Clinton's margin of victory over Obama in the non-South.

These numbers tell the tale succinctly. Clinton suffered significant loses across many of her core constituencies. White women, Democrats, union workers, downscale voters, and white Catholics all drifted to Obama last night - some so much that Obama actually won them.

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