Something To Keep Mr. G. Baker Distraught

You remember that some of our friends are sure that the election could still go the way of '00, '02 and '04. We can't blame them.

From Politcal Wire:

Poll Finds Race Tightening

A new Pew Research survey "finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign. The new survey finds a growing percentage of likely voters saying they will vote for GOP candidates. However, the Democrats still hold a 48% to 40% lead among registered voters, and a modest lead of 47% to 43% among likely voters."

"The narrowing of the Democratic lead raises questions about whether the party will win a large enough share of the popular vote to recapture control of the House of Representatives. The relationship between a party's share of the popular vote and the number of seats it wins is less certain than it once was, in large part because of the increasing prevalence of safe seat redistricting. As a result, forecasting seat gains from national surveys has become more difficult."