Keep An Eye Out

The race to replace newly appointed Senator Kirsten Gillabrand, a Democrat from a conservative upstate NY district ends this Tuesday.

Murphy Takes Lead in NY-20

As the NY-20 special election enters the final weekend, Scott Murphy (D) has reversed a four-point deficit and turned it into a four-point lead over Jim Tedisco (R), according to a new Siena Research poll. Murphy now leads 47% to 43% among likely voters, having trailed two weeks ago by a 45% to 41% margin.

Key findings: Tedisco's campaign is viewed by voters as more negative by a 44% to 25% percent margin, while Murphy's campaign is seen as more positive. Nonetheless, the conventional wisdom in the district is that Tedisco will win the election.