Monday, December 01, 2008

Reaganesque? FDR-philic?


I knew that if I waited long enough somebody would start to write about this.

I've been thinking a lot about how the stars have aligned for BHO and the Dems.

First I noticed this in the US News & Report:

The GOP strategist had been joking about the upcoming presidential election and giving his humorous assessments of the candidates. He suddenly cut out the schtick and got scary serious. "Let me tell you something, if Democrats take the White House and pass a big-government health care plan, that's it. Game over. Government will dominate the economy like it does in Europe. Conservatives will spend the rest of their lives trying to turn things around and they will fail."

... [In Britain] "After the Labor Party established the National Health Service after World War II, supposedly conservative workers and low-income people under religious and other influences who tended to support the Conservatives were much more likely to vote for the Labor Party when health care, social welfare, education and pro-working class policies were enacted by labor-supported governments."

Eleanor Clift sees the opportunity:

Reagan is the president that Barack Obama is most closely modeling himself after. Ronald Reagan inherited stagflation, a defeat abroad and a nation at its nadir in morale. Through the sheer force of his personality as much as his policies, four years later, it was "Morning in America," the theme of his 1984 re-election campaign when he won 49 states. Obama isn't president yet, but his determined calm and orderly transition pace appear to be soothing the financial markets, producing the first sustained gain in stocks since the mid-September meltdown.


... Unlike Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter, who quickly ran afoul of their Democratic majorities, Obama will be better wired on Capitol Hill than anybody in either party since Lyndon Johnson. Rahm Emanuel has a boatload of IOUs he can call in as chief of staff along with a high sensitivity to what it takes to preserve and build an enduring majority. Phil Schilero, tapped as Obama's liaison to Capitol Hill, has deep roots in Congress both as a top aide to former Senate leader Tom Daschle and as ace House investigator Henry Waxman's longtime sidekick. With Waxman displacing old bull John Dingell as chairman of the powerful Energy and Commerce Committee, the prospects for meaningful action on a host of legislation, notably climate change, improve dramatically.

Back in May, we read this:

The Incredible Shrinking Republican Base

... As a result of changes in American society, today's electorate is very different from the electorate of twenty, thirty, or forty years ago. Three long-term trends have been especially significant in this regard: increasing racial diversity, declining rates of marriage, and changes in religious beliefs. As a result of these trends, today's voters are less likely to be white, less likely to be married, and less likely to consider themselves Christians than voters of just a few decades ago.

And We All know that when the actual election came about Obama won young voters and Hispanic voters by greater than 2:1, won decidedly among all Non-Protestant religious groups and independents.

Also re-assuring was the fact that 2/3 of the populace saw Palin, dominant carrier of the McCarthy gene ( and not Gene McCarthy we rush to point out), as a non-serious, non-presidential disqualifying blot on the Republican ticket.

Democrats really have a chance at what Karl Rove dreamed of ... a Permanent Majority (i.e. 20-40 years).

Not being Republicans, though, we will have to actually produce results.

Not being Republicans, though, we are much more interested in producing results so that's on our side.


Mr JK, Your Mom may never sleep soundly again.....

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

My Mama was one of those reluctant votes for McCain. If he hadn't been in the Military, I believe she would have just not voted. And, to say the least, she is nervous about the future... I like to think that she will be calmed somewhat by the successes and improvements to come.
GoBama!

Mr. JK