Tuesday, October 28, 2008

What We're Looking For

Because we're Dems and we know that we could blow this at any time ....

Nate Silver helps identify how we can know for sure that we might be screwing the pooch once again:

In order to conclude the Electoral College has tightened to the point where the outcome on November 4 is at least moderately uncertain, I would want to see the following between now and the election. Call it the 2/2/2 condition:

John McCain polling within 2 points in 2 or more non-partisan polls (sorry, Strategic Vision) in at least 2 out of the 3 following states: Colorado, Virginia, Pennsylvania.



None of which has happened YET.

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