Worried About The Polls?

Last night Mr JK and I were talking and he expressed concerns over the tightness of the race.

Happily for him, Marc Ambinder, a fairly even-handed reporting blogger, addresses these concerns:

He IS leading. Over the course of two months and literally dozens of surveys, I can recall only two national polls -- one Rasmussen IVR poll and one Newsweek poll of likely voters -- showing John McCain in the lead. Everywhere, all the time, Obama's leading in the polls. The unknown guy is leading over the known guy. Obama's currently building enormous Senate-style campaigns in 18 states and has several major states -- Iowa and Wisconsin -- in the bag already. Chill.

... Right now, the type of voter who's paying attention is primed to support John McCain. After the conventions, when younger voters typically tune in -- and by younger here, I mean, under 55 or so -- then Obama's margins will widen because these folks are his folks.

His very thorough analysis is here.